Ligue 1·
Final·05/26/2026·14:45
Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne
DWLLL
0-0
Finished
HT0-0
Nice
Nice
LDLDD
📍 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint Etienne

Stats below use each team's main league —Ligue 2France·Ligue 1France

Last 10Ligue 1
Etienne10matchesNice10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
52%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

38%
1549
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1556
56%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

42%
48%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

34%
2.57
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.29

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.50
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.80
40%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

10%
30%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

50%
30%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%
50%
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%
40%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

30%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.80
60%
Scored > 0.565%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

70%
80%
Over 1.580%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

80%
50%
Over 2.545%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

40%
20%
Over 3.525%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

30%
30%
BTTS45%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%
10%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

0%
30%
Scored Both Halves15%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

0%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
0.90
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.50
10.80
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

15.40
2.70
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.80
1.90
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.90
70%
Save %65%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

60%
50%
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.05
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.28
0.60
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.62
0.45
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.34
0.62
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.39
0.08
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.12

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
13.50
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

10.10
4.70
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.30
8.40
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

6.90
62%
Box Shot %65%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

68%
35%
On-Target %34%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

33%
11%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

8%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
58%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

42%
85%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

80%
486.20
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

365.10
0.16
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.11

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
20%2/10
Leading at HT10%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

0%0/10
50%5/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

60%6/10
30%3/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

40%4/10
60%6/10
HT/FT Same Outcome65%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

70%7/10
100%2/2
Led at HT → Won

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

0/0
33%1/3
Trailed at HT → Recovered29%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

25%1/4

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
7%
0-15'10%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

13%
20%
16-30'10%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

0%
13%
31-45'13%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

13%
0%
46-60'13%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

25%
27%
61-75'13%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

0%
33%
76-90+'42%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

50%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
50%4/8
Scored First38%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

25%2/8
50%4/8
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

75%6/8
100%4/4
Win when Scoring First75%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

50%1/2
0%0/4
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/6
28'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

30'
19'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

44'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
40%4/10
Scored after 75'40%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

40%4/10
10%1/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

20%2/10
100%4/4
Lead Saved after 75'100%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%1/1
0%0/4
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/1
0%0/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
100%15/15
Open-Play Share88%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

75%6/8
0%0/15
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

25%2/8
0%0/15
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/8
11%1/9
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

7%1/15
0%0/9
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/15

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
6.10
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.50
3.40
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.60
64%
Corner Share57%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

50%
1.63
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.86
60%6/10
Match Corners > 8.560%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

60%6/10
30%3/10
Match Corners > 9.545%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

60%6/10
30%3/10
Match Corners > 10.545%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

60%6/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
1.50
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.30
0%0/10
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

10%1/10
14.40
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.40
30%3/10
Match Cards > 3.537%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

44%4/9
9/10
20%2/10
Match Cards > 4.521%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

22%2/9
9/10
67%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

58%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeEtienne at home · Nice on the road
66
2.17
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.83
67%4/6
Win Rate42%

Share of sampled matches won.

17%1/6
17%1/6
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

50%3/6
2.17
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
0.67
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.50
67%4/6
Clean Sheet50%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

33%2/6
17%1/6
BTTS42%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

67%4/6
67%4/6
Over 2.558%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%3/6
1.55
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.07
0.54
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.62